Real Economy Blog

Consumer sentiment rises above expectations in January

Consumer sentiment rises above expectations in January

Consumer sentiment rose in January to 78.8 from 69.7, much higher than the median consensus forecast of 70.1.
How attacks on ships in the Red Sea are affecting trade

How attacks on ships in the Red Sea are affecting trade

Trade through the Red Sea accounts for 15% of total global sea trade, including vital supplies of grains, seaborn liquid natural gas and oil.
December employment report caps an extraordinary year of 2.7 million jobs added

December employment report caps an extraordinary year of 2.7 million jobs added

The U.S. economy added 216,000 jobs in December, closing out an extraordinary year that saw an increase of 2.7 million in total employment and a ...
Fed signals end of rate hikes and projects cuts in 2024

Fed signals end of rate hikes and projects cuts in 2024

The Federal Reserve signaled at its meeting on Wednesday that it is done raising its policy rate and is poised to reduce it by 75 basis points ...
U.S. November Consumer Price Index: Inflation continues to abate

U.S. November Consumer Price Index: Inflation continues to abate

Inflation continued to abate in November as energy prices declined by 2.3% and gasoline prices dropped by 6%, resulting in a 0.1% monthly ...
FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024

FOMC preview and the logic of Fed rate cuts in 2024

After nearly two years of raising the federal funds policy rate to restore price stability, the Federal Reserve is poised to all but declare ...
U.S. economic outlook: Expansion continues into 2024

U.S. economic outlook: Expansion continues into 2024

Expect the economy to settle into its long-term growth rate of around 1.8% next year. Read our forecasts for growth, inflation, unemployment, ...
Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause

Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause

The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation metric, was unchanged on the month, while the core ...
Fed’s key wage inflation metric tops forecast

Fed’s key wage inflation metric tops forecast

The employment cost index for the third quarter showed that labor costs rose 1.1% higher than the forecast of 1.0% and were higher than the ...
Construction employment: Kickstarting the reindustrialization of the American economy

Construction employment: Kickstarting the reindustrialization of the American economy

Public policy put in place in recent years points toward a tailwind for both construction employment and the manufacturing sector.
Consumer price index: Volatility in energy and gas makes price stability elusive

Consumer price index: Volatility in energy and gas makes price stability elusive

Gains toward price stability remain elusive as the 1.5% increase in overall energy costs and stubborn housing inflation were the major drivers ...
The great rate reset: The end of easy money, rising yields and the onset of a new era

The great rate reset: The end of easy money, rising yields and the onset of a new era

For the first time in years, the risk premium has been positive, which is an important signal that interest rates are indeed returning to normal.
Inflation Reduction Act could provide clean energy tax credits for health care organizations and investors

Inflation Reduction Act could provide clean energy tax credits for health care organizations and investors

Health care organizations have significant financial incentives to capitalize on the tax credits available from the IRA when investing in clean ...
Energy pushes inflation higher but core prices remain grounded

Energy pushes inflation higher but core prices remain grounded

Consumer inflation in August posted the biggest monthly increase in more than a year, driven mostly by the surge in oil and energy prices.
Industrial production and housing rebound in July, affirming GDP growth outlook

Industrial production and housing rebound in July, affirming GDP growth outlook

Industrial production, housing starts and permits rebounded in July, affirming RSM US LLP's economic growth outlook for the third quarter.

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