Real Economy Blog

Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause

Inflation slows again, pointing to another rate pause

The personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation metric, was unchanged on the month, while the core ...
Fed’s key wage inflation metric tops forecast

Fed’s key wage inflation metric tops forecast

The employment cost index for the third quarter showed that labor costs rose 1.1% higher than the forecast of 1.0% and were higher than the ...
Construction employment: Kickstarting the reindustrialization of the American economy

Construction employment: Kickstarting the reindustrialization of the American economy

Public policy put in place in recent years points toward a tailwind for both construction employment and the manufacturing sector.
Consumer price index: Volatility in energy and gas makes price stability elusive

Consumer price index: Volatility in energy and gas makes price stability elusive

Gains toward price stability remain elusive as the 1.5% increase in overall energy costs and stubborn housing inflation were the major drivers ...
The great rate reset: The end of easy money, rising yields and the onset of a new era

The great rate reset: The end of easy money, rising yields and the onset of a new era

For the first time in years, the risk premium has been positive, which is an important signal that interest rates are indeed returning to normal.
Inflation Reduction Act could provide clean energy tax credits for health care organizations and investors

Inflation Reduction Act could provide clean energy tax credits for health care organizations and investors

Health care organizations have significant financial incentives to capitalize on the tax credits available from the IRA when investing in clean ...
Energy pushes inflation higher but core prices remain grounded

Energy pushes inflation higher but core prices remain grounded

Consumer inflation in August posted the biggest monthly increase in more than a year, driven mostly by the surge in oil and energy prices.
Industrial production and housing rebound in July, affirming GDP growth outlook

Industrial production and housing rebound in July, affirming GDP growth outlook

Industrial production, housing starts and permits rebounded in July, affirming RSM US LLP's economic growth outlook for the third quarter.
Surging manufacturing construction: Industrial policy and U.S. semiconductors

Surging manufacturing construction: Industrial policy and U.S. semiconductors

A confluence of events triggered by supply chain disruptions, global security tensions and a changing political landscape has resulted in a boom in...
U.S. second-half economic outlook: Muddling through

U.S. second-half economic outlook: Muddling through

A rapid decline in inflation amid robust hiring and an unemployment rate that stands at 3.6% despite a steep rise in interest rates underscore a ...
Inflation slows to 3% in June but the Fed”s work is not done

Inflation slows to 3% in June but the Fed”s work is not done

The 3% year-ago increase in the consumer price index reported by the Labor Department on Wednesday is down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022.
U.S. economy was a lot stronger in first quarter, final GDP estimate shows

U.S. economy was a lot stronger in first quarter, final GDP estimate shows

The third and final estimate of gross domestic product showed a drastic upward revision to a 2.0% gain from 1.3% on a quarterly and annualized basis.
Inflation relief in the pipeline as food, gas and service prices ease

Inflation relief in the pipeline as food, gas and service prices ease

Top-line U.S. inflation is moving back toward levels where it is appropriate for the Federal Reserve to pause in its efforts to restore price ...
Financial services update: FedNow, banking results, reinsurance disruption

Financial services update: FedNow, banking results, reinsurance disruption

In our latest financial services update, we take a look at the upcoming launch of the Federal Reserve's instant payment system, banking results ...
The debt ceiling agreement and the financial health of the U.S.

The debt ceiling agreement and the financial health of the U.S.

The agreemen's impact on economic growth will most likely be negligible and will bring modest growth in overall spending over the next two years.

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